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The Face of the Earth

Posted by dedfischer on January 6th, 2009 under Uncategorized

Given that we here at The Tortilla Retort are privy to information, data and formulas not avaible to commoners, we were able to accurately calculate where the face of the Earth ends.  Rest assured Red Raider Nation, our results indicate we are nowhere near falling off of it in 2009. 

       

Our formula accurately calculates the face of the Earth as somewhere between Boone, NC and College Station, TX.

If we didn’t have something to bitch about, then we wouldn’t be fans.  That’s what fans do.  We also gobble up season tickets, attend spring scrimmages, follow the lives of teenage boys closer than Pete Townsend and consume copious amounts of alcohol in a Lubbock parking lot every other Saturday in the fall.  We will spend damn good money to find something to bitch about.  And, the Tech fanbase is one of the more tolerant around.  Still, our expectations have risen higher than ever and the threat of a return to mediocracy constantly tugs at us all.  That’s why I went to the trouble of figuring where the face of the Earth was for you.  That shit’s not easy.  You try it.

First of all, we need to set the bar for realistic expectations.  From 1996 to 2001, Texas Tech won 40 games and lost 31.  We were a 6-5 program for the most part with the 7th win hinging on bowl results.  For the 2002-2007 period, Tech was victorious 51 times and suffered defeat in 26 contests, or roughly 8-4 and a bowl matchup deciding the 9th win.  In my humblelistic opinion, that’s not bad considering our resources.  This was our first 11 win season since inception to the Big 12, and not many programs in the country achieve that kind of success.  I’m not expecting us to in 2009.  We play in a tough conference and other teams will be improving as well.  Maybe at a greater rate than us, but the cupboard is not bare after the departure of Graham Harrell and Michael Crabtree.  We’ve been consistent and history tells us we won’t be slipping past the 8-4 mark.  Mack Brown just proved it is possible to go 12-1 without a running game.  So let’s see how many games we’ll be favored in as it stands right now:

W vs. North Dakota (1-0) - I’m going to pencil in a win here.  A loss might prove our formula was off.  Brandon Williams and McKinner Dixon should be too much off the corner for the North Dakotans.  I’m too lazy to lookup their mascot.

W vs. Rice (2-0) - Chase Clement and Jarrett Dillard will be a much bigger loss to Rice than Harrell and Crabtree will be to Tech.  Plus, it’s in Lubbock.

W @ Houston (3-0) – This will be a tough game as Case Keenum and Bryce Beall should be able to expose our young safeties to some extent, but the Cougars lose 7 starters on defense and break in a new left tackle against Williams.  Houston graduates the entire defensive front 4 including sackmaster Phillip Hunt.  I would imagine this will be our first opportunity to see the ability of uber recruits Harrison Jeffers and Lonnie Edwards on full display, and what should be an improved running game.

W vs. New Mexico (4-0) – The Lobos are breaking in a new coaching staff along with their 7 new starters on defense.  In Lubbock, I expect this to be very Rice-like, but New Mexico historically plays Tech tougher than they do other opponents.

W vs. Kansas State (5-0) – I’m not sold on Bill Snyder’s return, although, he’ll have a fine staff.  Josh Freeman should decide to stick around, and if he does, then our safeties will face a true test.  We could possibly have to eek out a close win in Lubbock.  Williams and Dixon will come in handy against the North teams.

L @ Nebraska (5-1) – It’s arguable that Nebraska loses just as much as Tech on offense, and we might be replacing ours with better players than what the Huskers have to offer.  I expect the Nebraska defense to keep improving, especially if Ndamukong Suh returns for his last year.  I don’t see them getting much faster at DE, and we could be good enough at the position to win a close ball game.  I would like to see Batch and Jeffers combine for 30-35 carries in this game away from Suh, but that’s probably too optimistic on my part.  We’ll know right here what kind of team we have.

W vs. Texas A&M (6-1) - Is it irrational for me not to believe Mike Sherman is the answer?  It’s in Lubbock, but Johnson, Tannehill and Fuller are good enough to expose our deep middle.  If you can’t tell by now, I’m largely depending on our ability to sack the QB without blitzing as a difference in several ball games much like 2008.  I think that’s an asset in the Big 12.  You’re welcome to disagree.

W vs. Kansas (7-1) – I like getting these tweener games in Lubbock.  These are ones we exceedingly struggle with on the road when breaking in a new QB.

L @ Texas (7-2) – They are going to be extremely pissed off at home, and should take care of business against us.  Although, I’m not convinced at this point, Texas will be stopping anyone’s running game in 2009.  We need to spend four quarters practicing our playaction game as the now experienced Texas back 7 will be a more integral part of run defense next year.  If Kindle leaves early, I might start becoming giddy, given we haven’t self-imploded by this point in the season, which is always a possibility.

L @ OSU (7-3) – We never win in Oklahoma.  I call it Quanah’s Revenge.  Although, the Cowboy ground attack might not be so vaunted without Russell Okung, David Washington, Steve Denning and Brandon Pettigrew. 

W vs. OU (8-3) - I’m basing this on Bradford leaving, which could obviously change results.  With a Heisman and 5 starters graduating on the OL, I’m banking on him wearing a Chiefs jersey next year.  Landry Jones would be the first good QB to come out of New Mexico.  I’m not sure he is.

W @ Baylor (9-3) – Briles is making progress and this should be a shootout.  Tech will be relying on Williams and Dixon to do more damage than their Baylor counterparts.  I think they can.

Bizarre.  That’s exactly where I predicted us in 2008.  Hopefully, I’m wrong again and we’re 2 wins better.  At a minimum, I’m not putting on my parachute just yet despite a Cotton Bowl loss to a good Ole Miss team.  They’re right.  We don’t have to play an SEC schedule, so 9 wins and a re-match shouldn’t be a stretch. 

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12 Responses

  1. Shanna Shute said:

    January 7th, 2009 at 6:58 am

    The Fighting Sioux of Narth Daaahkotah. Never under estimate a bunch of boys named Sioux.

  2. Perspective is important and as big of a fan as you are, Ded, I’m glad you keep an even keel. I remember when I was at Tech in the 90s and we consistently went 6-5/7-4. It actually was not too bad because your expectations were never too high and when we did pull of the annual upset of UT/A&M, it was much more enjoyable winning as the huge underdog, especially against the marquee progams in Texas. When we lost, fans seemed to shrug and head to the party or bars and never give it a second thought. No Monday morning QBing or arguing on a message board. Simpler times.

    The success Leach has brought the team has certainly raised expectations and there are times when folks are too disappointed rather than grateful for the good seasons we have had. 2008 was one of, if not the best season in Tech history, so we should remember it as that.

  3. Nostradamus said:

    January 7th, 2009 at 7:51 am

    @ ND – Win
    Rice – Win
    @ UH – Win
    NM – Win
    KSU – Win
    @ Neb – Loss
    A&M – Win
    KU – Win
    @ UT – Loss
    @ OSU – Win
    OU – Loss
    @ Baylor – Loss

    8-4

    For some weird reason I think that Baylor turns a corner next year and we catch them on the road.

  4. mojavereject said:

    January 7th, 2009 at 9:10 am

    With the combination of green safeties and our highly questionable OLB’s, pencil me in as deeply concerned about our defense next year.

  5. We’ve gone 8-4 and 9-2 with less talented QBs and worse defenses in alleged “rebuilding years”. While Texas and OU consider rebuilding years as 9-3 or 10-2, I’ll be perfectly complacent with 8-4. I’m more concerned about 2010 results after Williams and Dixon leave. They’re both good enough to mask some of our safety issues in all but about 3 games. We won’t face many quality OLs next season.

  6. Having KU and KSU at home is nice, and could be the deciding factor in those games.

    A win in Stillwater is possible if we have our run defense in order. Also that’s later in the year and Potts could be feeling his mojo by then.

    I agree with 8-4 or 9-3, but I wouldn’t be surprised if we get there by losing to UH and then pulling an upset somewhere else.

    I’m still hoping Ruff tweaks some things next year, especially with the whole front 7 coming back. I know, I’m a fool.

  7. I’ll have a feature on the options Ruff might have next season at some point.

  8. Ded-

    You have the Baylor game listed as a home game rather than an away game…hopefully that won’t make too much of a difference as their fans won’t yet know how to make a homefield advantage for their team…

  9. In my head, I didn’t. I fixed it.

  10. Chiefs or Redskins would be a good fit for Bradford.

  11. We play UT and OU back to back in 2010

  12. I think?

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